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A cute downtown harbor area with a number of bars and restaurants and beautiful colonial architecture. The train station is right downtown and mercifully the post road is farther north" taarok
"Indoor Water parks!" tmm224
"Mount Airy Lodge, where all you have to bring is your love of everything." timspc
"There's also a casino and a shooting range in the area. My friends took me away for a birthday weekend. Very affordable. Very fun." ravelight
If you're willing to go a little further than 3 hours (more like 4 or so) It's a nice college town with lots of good restaurants and shops and has a lot of cool hiking trails with waterfalls nearby. It's also located at the bottom of one of the finger lakes with a bunch of wineries to go wine tasting at along the lake. u/drjimmybrungus
"it's a spa town. If you're an American history buff, the Battle of Saratoga took place about 15 minutes outside of the present-day town." chengjih
Adirondack Trailways Bus , plenty of B&Bs to choose from, quaint city with a bunch of options for side-trips. carpy22
Lenox and Great Barrington are nice, great dinner spots, hiking outdoor activities, plus museums like the Mass MOCA and the Norman Rockwell museum for indoor adventures. Chesterwood is a fantastic outdoor sculpture park with light hiking and outdoor installations, and Tanglewood for amazing music (mostly classical) if they haven't yet closed for the season. lizzyism
"1.5-2 hours by car. Worthington State Forest is a good campsite with shower. Hike Red Dot Trail for a good view, or Tammany Trail. Kayaking in the river is fun, too." consuellabanana
There is an old motel there which you can walk up the hill to. The rooms were built in the 50s and are kinda small but most have views of the Hudson Valley. Also, it's a discount place so ask for a remodeled room (room 39 is very nice) and there are bunches of great restaurants in the area. I think you can get discounts from Hotels.com for the room. You can spend a day walking around the city of Peekskill. Great bookstore, old shops, art district etc. If you want, you can hop a train for a side trip to a number of smaller towns and cities like Sleepy Hollow. Anonymoustard
1:30-1:50 from city- Take the NJ Transit train down to Long Branch. From the station its a short walk east to the beach and Pier Village. Make sure to take a stroll to hit up the Windmill, Max's, Surf Taco or The Inkwell for lunch, Lighthouse for ices. Good bars w/ local crowd on Brighton Ave. Beginning Memorial Day weekend, you can also change trains in Long Branch and head down to Asbury Park. Walk down Cookman Ave. to the Boardwalk & beach area. You can do this out-of-season as well but it's quiet and trains run less frequently. sokpuppet1
"For hiking / picnicking. Also possible to get a bus from NY17 on the other side of Harriman at Arden Valley Rd. Hike from Bear Mountain Inn to that point on the Appalachian Trail is ~25 miles." frankiepoops
Ferry from Wall Street Pier 11 to the Highlands and taking a quick Uber to Donovan's in Sea Bright (in the summer). Beach bar and easy to get to/from. Can be a day trip! Flaythemall
Drive down Seven Lake parkway and choose whichever lake suits you best. Some have sectioned off swimming areas, and the first lake tends to be the most crowded, but further down the parkway is usually quiet. If you can manage to get up during the week, it is virtually empty. There are a few lakes that have some tucked away little coves that are good for swimming, though it is not allowed and park rangers will yell at you if they see you (or so I have heard...personally, never ran into one). Its about 1.5 hrs outside nyc. roboecho
Storm King, the largest outdoor sculpture park, is great. It's an easy drive, about an hour and half. Then you could possibly continue on to Peekskill (~30min from Storm King) and have drinks/snacks at the Peekskill brewery. And I love Hudson Valley, great restaurants/scenery and lots of nice charming towns to visit like Milton, the aforementioned Peekskill, Cold Spring, or Kingston are all worth checking out. Read this NY Times article. And if you're going up this weekend, you might be able to get tickets to the "Jack O'Lantern Blaze" at Van Cortlandt Manor in Cronton-On-Hudson. Check out these pics. You could visit the Culinary Institute in Hyde Park and get a meal at one of the campus restaurants staffed by the students. Bear Mountain is another nice outdoorsy getaway OIlberger
Really nice grounds for the kids to run around, you can all tour the old house(where if I remember right they have a mummy) and there's a planetarium. Also on Long Island you can go to Sagamore Hill which is Teddy Roosevelt's house. Its pretty cool to tour since he was an avid hunter. FirstLadyofBeer
" The Martz Bus is frequent and convenient. carpy22
I love Nyack! I live here now actually. You can get there by taking the Metro North to Tarrytown and then take the Hudson Link across the River.
Lots of little shops and restaurants. On the weekends there’s lots of bikers around. Monthly there’s a pretty big street fair that garners a lot of visitors.
Strawberry place is the best for breakfast (cash only). UP Lounge or OD’s for dinner. The Local or Karma for drinks.
Piermont is very close (biking or cheap bee distance). They have cute stores and restaurants. You can rent kayaks and kayak in the Piermont Marsh, or walk out on Ferry Road which is the furthest you can get to the middle of the Hudson without being on a boat or ferry. nakedrottweiler
Everyone needs a little space, don't ya think?
LuckyChance dropped to the water like a rock. It was the least graceful jump she could remember seeing. The knife swept through empty space and she sighed in relief. That looked very much like an osknive. The weapons had an odd groove along the blade that made them easier to identify.
Read the whole chapter Here!
[Sherlock:] "I really must congratulate you, Watson. In the course of one morning's ordinary domestic decisions, you have managed to replicate on a small scale every one of the errors that brought your cousin's business to its knees!"
[Sherlock:] "Perhaps people unconsciously assume that Fortune has a finite number of outcomes in the sack of black and white pebbles she arries. Then the more black pebbles you are dealt, the higher the proportion of white remain in her sack, and the more likely you are to get white. But in truth her supply is infinite, and she can always continue to give black or white at perfect whim. Failure to understand that is the first great human fallacy in misunderstanding the Laws of Chance.[…]
"The second great fallacy is to think that you can ignore a very tiny change of a very large loss or gain. A mathematician would warn you of the meaninglessness of multiplying zero by infinity, but we did not have to venture into such abstractions to see that the Marquis's second system would have come to grief eventually."
[Sherlock:] "Not a bad simile, Watson: real randomness is a sharp and spiky place, which will cut the unwary as surely as sharp rocks rip apart the boots and hands of the ill-equipped cave explorer. We are unaccustomed to such roughness because processes human and artificial so often give nonrandom pattern to the world we encounter, and uniformity is a simple pattern to generate, and therefore commonplace."[…]Compare the following sentence, which wouldn't look out of place in Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality:
Holmes raised a long finger. "Never mistake uniformity for the product of randomness.[…] But you are not alone in your error: mistaking a uniform distribution for a random one is a common blunder. Indeed, it is worthy of being tagged as the third great human fallacy in misunderstanding the Laws of Chance! You had better start making a list. It is as ever most instructive to talk to you, Watson."
Harry's brain complained that it never would have encountered a random distribution in the ancestral environment.
"Why, confound it, Holmes, I have once again drawn Napoleon's hat!"
"Quite so, Watson. You have indeed chosen a fitting name for the Normal Distribution. Just as Napoleon sought to conquer all the populations he encountered, so the 'Napoleon's hat' curve tends to dominate all random populations encountered in nature. But remember this: Napoleon ultimately failed in his quest—he never ruled all of Europe, despite his ambition. And similarly, not every imaginable population conforms to the normal distribution, although student mathematicians sometimes fall into the trap of thinking that all must."
The Mage looked at [Dodgson] scornfully. "One-half to two-thirds," he said savagely. "That seems to be your theme song, Reverend."
[Holmes] ticked off points on his fingers. "First, you showed us how the human eye and brain can detect pattern where there is none. It is understandable design by evolution, for it is better to be frightened by ten shadows than to overlook one actual tiger, but it often trips us up in modern life.
"Second, there is the fallacy of retrodiction—conducting a blanket search of a great number of possibilities, and claiming subsequently how unlikely it is to get just that message in just that position. It is more often done by numerology: measure every possible dimension of the Great Pyramid, say, in every system of units known to you, and then try dozens of possible numerical combinations of the results to see whether any of the numbers that emerge seem significant, such as being a famous year in the Christian calendar. But your Bible messages have that beat all hollow."
I shook my head. "Really, this seems like black magic, Holmes."
"Not so, Watson. But it does go against a false intuition that Nature has hard-wired firmly into our brains: the fallacy of judgement, that people or objects can always be ranked in order of value, from best to worse, in a sort of beauty contest. Let us be thankful that it is not true."
"Bayes's theorem sets out formally the criteria for calculating probability ratios such as those we have been encountering today."
"I will be sure to credit him if I write up today's events. If you show me it, perhaps I should reproduce his formula to illustrate the point."
Holmes turned the book toward me to reveal, I must say, a rather intimidating piece of algebra.
"I would not advise it, Watson. I have heard it said that every equation appearing in a popular book halves its sales: your fear of algebra is not unique. I confidently predict that if this formula appears in all its glory, your sales will be decimated—and in the modern sense of the word! No, you should confine yourself to illustration by example. Those window-frame-shaped diagrams I have been drawing for you summarize Bayes's approach exactly."
I blinked at the complex array of figures.
[Sherlock:] "Henderson wants to choose a column that maximizes his chance of survival. But the Mauras will pick the row that minimizes it. Hence arises the concept of the minimax, beloved of game theorists. We must look for the column in which the lowest value is as high as possible."
"Well, it does not matter now, Holmes. As it turned out, you went to Canterbury, and survived; Moriarty is dead, and can never tell us on what basis he chose Dover. All else is moot."The prequel to this book, The Einstein Paradox, focuses on physics and involves Professor Challenger.
Holmes looked at me without seeming to see me, his gaze focused somewhere beyond infinity. "Is it, Watson? Do you remember the many-worlds view of reality, endorsed by Challenger and many other clever physicists, that arises out of quantum theory?[…]
"In that case, the original Sherlock Holmes who tossed a coin on the way to Canterbury gave rise to a huge (but not infinite) number of subsequent versions. Call that number a zillion if all had survived. If I had rolled a die as I should have done, a third of a zillion would be alive now. As it is, there are only a quarter of a zillion. One-twelfth of those other versions of myself were killed by my stupidity."
I gazed into the fireplace for some time, musing like Holmes on philosophical realities almost impossible to grasp.
[These chapters] deal with the same problem: How do you construct an accurate picture of the world, given that your subjective impressions may be misleading, and second-hand reports deliberately selective?
Game theory and related branches of mathematics have made great strides in recent decades. Perhaps where the visionaries of the early twentieth century fell short in their attempts to design new and better societies in which war and want would be unknown, those of the twenty-first, equipped with better knowledge, may yet succeed.
[Sherlock:] "I really must congratulate you, Watson. In the course of one morning's ordinary domestic decisions, you have managed to replicate on a small scale every one of the errors that brought your cousin's business to its knees!"
[Sherlock:] "Perhaps people unconsciously assume that Fortune has a finite number of outcomes in the sack of black and white pebbles she arries. Then the more black pebbles you are dealt, the higher the proportion of white remain in her sack, and the more likely you are to get white. But in truth her supply is infinite, and she can always continue to give black or white at perfect whim. Failure to understand that is the first great human fallacy in misunderstanding the Laws of Chance.[…]
"The second great fallacy is to think that you can ignore a very tiny change of a very large loss or gain. A mathematician would warn you of the meaninglessness of multiplying zero by infinity, but we did not have to venture into such abstractions to see that the Marquis's second system would have come to grief eventually."
[Sherlock:] "Not a bad simile, Watson: real randomness is a sharp and spiky place, which will cut the unwary as surely as sharp rocks rip apart the boots and hands of the ill-equipped cave explorer. We are unaccustomed to such roughness because processes human and artificial so often give nonrandom pattern to the world we encounter, and uniformity is a simple pattern to generate, and therefore commonplace."[…]Compare the following sentence, which wouldn't look out of place in Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality:
Holmes raised a long finger. "Never mistake uniformity for the product of randomness.[…] But you are not alone in your error: mistaking a uniform distribution for a random one is a common blunder. Indeed, it is worthy of being tagged as the third great human fallacy in misunderstanding the Laws of Chance! You had better start making a list. It is as ever most instructive to talk to you, Watson."
Harry's brain complained that it never would have encountered a random distribution in the ancestral environment.
"Why, confound it, Holmes, I have once again drawn Napoleon's hat!"
"Quite so, Watson. You have indeed chosen a fitting name for the Normal Distribution. Just as Napoleon sought to conquer all the populations he encountered, so the 'Napoleon's hat' curve tends to dominate all random populations encountered in nature. But remember this: Napoleon ultimately failed in his quest—he never ruled all of Europe, despite his ambition. And similarly, not every imaginable population conforms to the normal distribution, although student mathematicians sometimes fall into the trap of thinking that all must."
The Mage looked at [Dodgson] scornfully. "One-half to two-thirds," he said savagely. "That seems to be your theme song, Reverend."
[Holmes] ticked off points on his fingers. "First, you showed us how the human eye and brain can detect pattern where there is none. It is understandable design by evolution, for it is better to be frightened by ten shadows than to overlook one actual tiger, but it often trips us up in modern life.
"Second, there is the fallacy of retrodiction—conducting a blanket search of a great number of possibilities, and claiming subsequently how unlikely it is to get just that message in just that position. It is more often done by numerology: measure every possible dimension of the Great Pyramid, say, in every system of units known to you, and then try dozens of possible numerical combinations of the results to see whether any of the numbers that emerge seem significant, such as being a famous year in the Christian calendar. But your Bible messages have that beat all hollow."
I shook my head. "Really, this seems like black magic, Holmes."
"Not so, Watson. But it does go against a false intuition that Nature has hard-wired firmly into our brains: the fallacy of judgement, that people or objects can always be ranked in order of value, from best to worse, in a sort of beauty contest. Let us be thankful that it is not true."
"Bayes's theorem sets out formally the criteria for calculating probability ratios such as those we have been encountering today."
"I will be sure to credit him if I write up today's events. If you show me it, perhaps I should reproduce his formula to illustrate the point."
Holmes turned the book toward me to reveal, I must say, a rather intimidating piece of algebra.
"I would not advise it, Watson. I have heard it said that every equation appearing in a popular book halves its sales: your fear of algebra is not unique. I confidently predict that if this formula appears in all its glory, your sales will be decimated—and in the modern sense of the word! No, you should confine yourself to illustration by example. Those window-frame-shaped diagrams I have been drawing for you summarize Bayes's approach exactly."
I blinked at the complex array of figures.
[Sherlock:] "Henderson wants to choose a column that maximizes his chance of survival. But the Mauras will pick the row that minimizes it. Hence arises the concept of the minimax, beloved of game theorists. We must look for the column in which the lowest value is as high as possible."
"Well, it does not matter now, Holmes. As it turned out, you went to Canterbury, and survived; Moriarty is dead, and can never tell us on what basis he chose Dover. All else is moot."The prequel to this book, The Einstein Paradox, focuses on physics and involves Professor Challenger.
Holmes looked at me without seeming to see me, his gaze focused somewhere beyond infinity. "Is it, Watson? Do you remember the many-worlds view of reality, endorsed by Challenger and many other clever physicists, that arises out of quantum theory?[…]
"In that case, the original Sherlock Holmes who tossed a coin on the way to Canterbury gave rise to a huge (but not infinite) number of subsequent versions. Call that number a zillion if all had survived. If I had rolled a die as I should have done, a third of a zillion would be alive now. As it is, there are only a quarter of a zillion. One-twelfth of those other versions of myself were killed by my stupidity."
I gazed into the fireplace for some time, musing like Holmes on philosophical realities almost impossible to grasp.
[These chapters] deal with the same problem: How do you construct an accurate picture of the world, given that your subjective impressions may be misleading, and second-hand reports deliberately selective?
Game theory and related branches of mathematics have made great strides in recent decades. Perhaps where the visionaries of the early twentieth century fell short in their attempts to design new and better societies in which war and want would be unknown, those of the twenty-first, equipped with better knowledge, may yet succeed.
Use of the Sherlock Holmes and Professor Challenger characters by arrangement with Dame Jean Conan Doyle.And Conned Again, Watson! says:
Use of the Sherlock Holmes characters by arrangement with the late Dame Jean Conan Doyle.
[Sherlock:] "I really must congratulate you, Watson. In the course of one morning's ordinary domestic decisions, you have managed to replicate on a small scale every one of the errors that brought your cousin's business to its knees!"
[Sherlock:] "Perhaps people unconsciously assume that Fortune has a finite number of outcomes in the sack of black and white pebbles she arries. Then the more black pebbles you are dealt, the higher the proportion of white remain in her sack, and the more likely you are to get white. But in truth her supply is infinite, and she can always continue to give black or white at perfect whim. Failure to understand that is the first great human fallacy in misunderstanding the Laws of Chance."[...]
"The second great fallacy is to think that you can ignore a very tiny change of a very large loss or gain. A mathematician would warn you of the meaninglessness of multiplying zero by infinity, but we did not have to venture into such abstractions to see that the Marquis's second system would have come to grief eventually."
[Sherlock:] "Not a bad simile, Watson: real randomness is a sharp and spiky place, which will cut the unwary as surely as sharp rocks rip apart the boots and hands of the ill-equipped cave explorer. We are unaccustomed to such roughness because processes human and artificial so often give nonrandom pattern to the world we encounter, and uniformity is a simple pattern to generate, and therefore commonplace."[...]("Harry's brain complained that it never would have encountered a random distribution in the ancestral environment.")
Holmes raised a long finger. "Never mistake uniformity for the product of randomness.[...] But you are not alone in your error: mistaking a uniform distribution for a random one is a common blunder. Indeed, it is worthy of being tagged as the third great human fallacy in misunderstanding the Laws of Chance! You had better start making a list. It is as ever most instructive to talk to you, Watson."
"Why, confound it, Holmes, I have once again drawn Napoleon's hat!"
"Quite so, Watson. You have indeed chosen a fitting name for the Normal Distribution. Just as Napoleon sought to conquer all the populations he encountered, so the 'Napoleon's hat' curve tends to dominate all random populations encountered in nature. But remember this: Napoleon ultimately failed in his quest--he never ruled all of Europe, despite his ambition. And similarly, not every imaginable population conforms to the normal distribution, although student mathematicians sometimes fall into the trap of thinking that all must."
The Mage looked at [Dodgson] scornfully. "One-half to two-thirds," he said savagely. "That seems to be your theme song, Reverend."
[Holmes] ticked off points on his fingers. "First, you showed us how the human eye and brain can detect pattern where there is none. It is understandable design by evolution, for it is better to be frightened by ten shadows than to overlook one actual tiger, but it often trips us up in modern life.
"Second, there is the fallacy of retrodiction--conducting a blanket search of a great number of possibilities, and claiming subsequently how unlikely it is to get just that message in just that position. It is more often done by numerology: measure every possible dimension of the Great Pyramid, say, in every system of units known to you, and then try dozens of possible numerical combinations of the results to see whether any of the numbers that emerge seem significant, such as being a famous year in the Christian calendar. But your Bible messages have that beat all hollow."
I shook my head. "Really, this seems like black magic, Holmes."
"Not so, Watson. But it does go against a false intuition that Nature has hard-wired firmly into our brains: the fallacy of judgement, that people or objects can always be ranked in order of value, from best to worse, in a sort of beauty contest. Let us be thankful that it is not true."
[Sherlock:] "Bayes's theorem sets out formally the criteria for calculating probability ratios such as those we have been encountering today."
"I will be sure to credit him if I write up today's events. If you show me it, perhaps I should reproduce his formula to illustrate the point."
Holmes turned the book toward me to reveal, I must say, a rather intimidating piece of algebra.
"I would not advise it, Watson. I have heard it said that every equation appearing in a popular book halves its sales: your fear of algebra is not unique. I confidently predict that if this formula appears in all its glory, your sales will be decimated--and in the modern sense of the word! No, you should confine yourself to illustration by example. Those window-frame-shaped diagrams I have been drawing for your summarize Bayes's approach exactly."
I blinked at the complex array of figures.Quote:
[Sherlock:] "Henderson wants to choose a column that maximizes his chance of survival. But the Mauras will pick the row that minimizes it. Hence arises the concept of the minimax, beloved of game theorists. We must look for the column in which the lowest value is as high as possible."
"Well, it does not matter now, Holmes. As it turned out, you went to Canterbury, and survived; Moriarty is dead, and can never tell us on what basis he chose Dover. All else is moot."
Holmes looked at me without seeming to see me, his gaze focused somewhere beyond infinity. "Is it, Watson? Do you remember the many-worlds view of reality, endorsed by Challenger and many other clever physicists, that arises out of quantum theory?[...]
"In that case, the original Sherlock Holmes who tossed a coin on the way to Canterbury gave rise to a huge (but not infinite) number of subsequent versions. Call that number a zillion if all had survived. If I had rolled a die as I should have done, a third of a zillion would be alive now. As it is, there are only a quarter of a zillion. One-twelfth of those other versions of myself were killed by my stupidity."
I gazed into the fireplace for some time, musing like Holmes on philosophical realities almost impossible to grasp.
[These chapters] deal with the same problem: How do you construct an accurate picture of the world, given that your subjective impressions may be misleading, and second-hand reports deliberately selective?
Game theory and related branches of mathematics have made great strides in recent decades. Perhaps where the visionaries of the early twentieth century fell short in their attempts to design new and better societies in which war and want would be unknown, those of the twenty-first, equipped with better knowledge, may yet succeed.
Category:Casino Pier (Chicago) From Wikimedia Commons, the free media repository. Jump to navigation Jump to search. Media in category "Casino Pier (Chicago)" The following 11 files are in this category, out of 11 total. Music Hall (3573567304).jpg 700 × 514; 81 KB. Park Casino Pier Location Seaside Heights, NJ Status Defunct/Scrapped Operated Operated 1972 - 2002 Opened 1972 Opening Cost Height restriction Statistics Manufacturer Swarzchkoph Builder Swarzchkoph Designer Type Steel Type Model Star Jet Riders per train Riders per hour Lift/launch system Height 56 feet feet Drop feet Top speed mph Length feet Dimensions feet x feet Duration Inversions 0 ... The Casino is located in the Calico Desert accessed through the back door of the Oasis.Access is initially blocked by the Bouncer until "The Mysterious Qi" quest is completed.. Mr. Qi is constantly present in the room. To his right is a machine to exchange gold for Qi coins, at a rate of 1,000g per 100, or 10g:1q value.Qi coins are used for both gambling and purchasing items inside the Casino ... Star Jet was an E&F Miler Industries sit-down roller coaster located at Casino Pier in Seaside Heights, New Jersey, USA. It was destroyed when Hurricane Sandy struck on October 29, 2012. It was destroyed when Hurricane Sandy struck on October 29, 2012. Casino Pier is an amusement park located in Seaside Heights, New Jersey USA. Contents. 1 History; 2 Roller coasters. 2.1 Present; 2.2 Past; History [edit edit source] In 2012, Hurricane Sandy destroyed half of Casino Pier's boardwalk. The rides that were destroyed included Star Jet and the log flume. The Diamond Casino Heist is a content update for Grand Theft Auto Online, released on December 12th, 2019. 1 Description 2 Content 2.1 The Diamond Casino Heist 2.2 Properties 2.3 Jobs 2.4 Characters added to GTA Online in this update 2.5 Character Customization 2.6 Collectibles 2.7 Weapons 2.8 Vehicles 2.9 Radio 3 Changes 4 Discounts & Bonuses 5 Gallery 5.1 Official Screenshots 5.2 GIFs 5.3 ... Media in category "Casino Pier" The following 54 files are in this category, out of 54 total. 2013-05-07 12 56 38 The Jet Star Roller Coaster from Casino Pier a week before demolition in Seaside Heights, New Jersey.jpg 3,264 × 2,448; 1.07 MB Casino Scoping is a setup mission featured in Grand Theft Auto Online as part of the The Diamond Casino Heist update. It is a freeroam mission needed to progress The Diamond Casino Heist. 1 Overview 2 Lester's Dialogue 3 Gallery 3.1 Areas of Interest 3.2 Video Walkthrough 4 Navigation This mission is the first preparation needed for the Diamond Casino Heist. The various points of interest the ... Casino Pier is an amusement park located in Seaside Heights, New Jersey. Casino Beach is a strip of public beach on the Gulf of Mexico side of Santa Rosa Island.It is located in central Pensacola Beach, south of the Bob Sikes Bridge near the intersection of Pensacola Beach Boulevard and Fort Pickens Road.. The area is named for the Casino, the island's first tourist attraction, which opened in 1931 and was demolished in the late 1960s.
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